All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Forest Park Ranger Race |
Jeremy Wright Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Patriot Invitational |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
Lincoln Trail Invitational |
Pocket Athletic Conference |
Jasper Sectional |
Crawford County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/21 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
596 |
654 |
561 |
666 |
|
|
554 |
577 |
658 |
692 |
615 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
488 |
493 |
666 |
|
|
554 |
577 |
658 |
692 |
615 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Forest Park Ranger Race |
Jeremy Wright Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Patriot Invitational |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
Lincoln Trail Invitational |
Pocket Athletic Conference |
Jasper Sectional |
Crawford County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 10 |
Spenser Wolf |
12 |
15:46 |
15:33 |
15:50 |
15:28 |
|
15:11 |
15:42 |
16:34 |
16:28 |
16:08 |
15:49 |
15:45 |
| 323 |
Bryce Troesch |
12 |
17:25 |
16:59 |
16:47 |
17:21 |
|
|
17:24 |
17:16 |
17:25 |
17:36 |
17:46 |
|
| 432 |
Reece Wolf |
9 |
17:38 |
16:59 |
17:11 |
17:45 |
|
|
17:26 |
17:54 |
17:36 |
18:10 |
17:37 |
|
| 558 |
Eli Berg |
11 |
17:51 |
17:39 |
17:35 |
18:15 |
|
|
17:58 |
17:30 |
17:30 |
18:24 |
17:42 |
|
| 940 |
Ethan Hall |
12 |
18:27 |
|
|
18:58 |
18:43 |
|
18:03 |
17:58 |
19:11 |
18:12 |
18:30 |
|
|
Owen Boeglin |
9 |
19:22 |
|
19:18 |
19:17 |
|
|
19:35 |
19:44 |
20:27 |
19:32 |
19:12 |
|
|
Ethan Weyer |
10 |
19:52 |
20:32 |
20:35 |
19:38 |
20:46 |
|
19:31 |
19:43 |
|
19:58 |
19:41 |
|
|
Will Kreilein |
12 |
20:10 |
21:20 |
19:42 |
19:34 |
20:24 |
|
20:24 |
19:55 |
20:22 |
|
|
|
|
Josh Sermersheim |
9 |
21:01 |
20:57 |
21:16 |
20:35 |
21:30 |
|
21:19 |
20:45 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
11.6 |
307 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
3.2 |
8.3 |
15.3 |
21.4 |
19.9 |
14.6 |
10.3 |
4.2 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.1 |
98 |
0.0 |
4.3 |
80.8 |
12.7 |
2.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.2 |
55 |
6.4 |
70.4 |
23.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Spenser Wolf |
100.0% |
10.4 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
5.1 |
6.7 |
8.0 |
8.2 |
7.9 |
7.6 |
6.6 |
5.7 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Spenser Wolf |
100% |
2.7 |
2.1 |
23.2 |
37.6 |
19.4 |
9.0 |
3.8 |
2.4 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bryce Troesch |
100% |
63.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.0% |
| Reece Wolf |
100% |
79.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
80.5% |
| Eli Berg |
100% |
97.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
44.1% |
| Ethan Hall |
100% |
137.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Spenser Wolf |
100% |
1.3 |
28.3 |
62.9 |
6.3 |
2.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bryce Troesch |
100% |
15.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.9 |
11.1 |
10.8 |
11.1 |
9.7 |
9.3 |
7.7 |
7.2 |
6.2 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Reece Wolf |
100% |
22.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.8 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.7 |
6.2 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.6 |
6.3 |
5.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Eli Berg |
100% |
29.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
4.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Hall |
100% |
43.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Spenser Wolf |
1.3 |
28.7 |
71.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bryce Troesch |
5.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
2.9 |
35.6 |
18.4 |
14.0 |
9.6 |
7.2 |
4.8 |
3.1 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Reece Wolf |
9.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
3.1 |
10.5 |
10.4 |
11.3 |
10.8 |
11.6 |
10.3 |
8.9 |
7.0 |
5.5 |
3.8 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Eli Berg |
13.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
4.3 |
5.7 |
7.2 |
9.1 |
10.1 |
10.4 |
10.9 |
10.1 |
9.5 |
7.4 |
5.4 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
| Ethan Hall |
22.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
2.0 |
4.7 |
8.5 |
12.5 |
17.2 |
22.3 |
24.3 |
6.2 |
|
